problem analysis triangle | Definition

Doc's CJ Glossary by Adam J. McKee

 

Course: Introduction / Policing / Criminology

The problem analysis triangle (sometimes referred to as the crime triangle) provides a way of thinking about recurring problems of crime and disorder.


The problem analysis triangle, also known as the crime triangle, is a conceptual framework used to understand the underlying factors that contribute to recurring problems of crime and disorder. The triangle is composed of three key elements: likely offenders, suitable targets, and the absence of capable guardians.

The concept of the problem analysis triangle was first introduced by criminologist Marcus Felson in the 1980s. Felson’s theory is based on the idea that crime is not just an individual act but rather a product of the interactions between potential offenders, victims, and the environment. By understanding these interactions, police and other law enforcement agencies can identify potential problem areas and develop strategies to prevent crime.

The first element of the problem analysis triangle is likely offenders. This refers to individuals or groups who are likely to commit a crime. These may include habitual criminals, gang members, or people who have committed similar crimes in the past. Likely offenders are often attracted to specific types of crime, such as burglary or drug dealing, and are more likely to target vulnerable individuals or businesses.

The second element is suitable targets. This refers to the people or places that are vulnerable to criminal activity. These may include homes, businesses, and public spaces that are poorly lit, lack security measures, or have low levels of foot traffic. Suitable targets are often identified by likely offenders as easy targets that offer high rewards for little risk.

The third and final element is the absence of capable guardians. This refers to the lack of individuals or systems in place to prevent criminal activity. Capable guardians may include police officers, security guards, or community members who are vigilant and willing to intervene to prevent crime. When capable guardians are absent, likely offenders are more likely to target suitable targets.

Using the problem analysis triangle, law enforcement agencies can identify potential hotspots for crime and develop strategies to prevent it. For example, if a high number of burglaries are occurring in a particular neighborhood, police may increase patrols, encourage residents to install security measures, and work with community organizations to promote awareness of crime prevention strategies.

The problem analysis triangle has been widely adopted by law enforcement agencies around the world and has been used to develop a range of crime prevention strategies. The concept has also been adapted to other areas of social policy, such as public health and urban planning, to understand and address complex problems.

Source: POP Center
Source URL: http://www.popcenter.org/about/?p=triangle


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Last Modified: 04/10/2023

 

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